29/10/2012

Smart Currency Rates and Comments 29th October 2012 - Lots of data this week - lots of reasons for exchange rates to move

GBP/EUR - 1.2444
GBP/USD - 1.6058
EUR/GBP - 0.8031
EUR/USD - 1.2897
GBP/AED - 5.8987
GBP/AUD - 1.5526
GBP/CAD - 1.6052
GBP/CHF - 1.5048
GBP/HKD - 12.4481
GBP/INR - 86.71
GBP/JPY - 127.92
GBP/NZD - 1.9576
GBP/SEK - 10.7961
GBP/ZAR - 13.9431


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After the gains made on Thursday, sterling remained fairly range bound on Friday, although it did drop below the key support level of 1.61 against the US dollar in reaction to the strong GDP data coming from the United States. Expect nervousness this week as the world gears up for a potential changeover of power on the other side of the Atlantic. The pound may continue to perform relatively well following the good GDP data from the UK last week as Britain begins to appear a safer option in an increasingly risk averse market. Manufacturing and construction Purchasers Managers Index (PMI) figures are released in the latter part of the week and will be closely monitored by investors as poor data could indicate that last week's GDP figures were mainly down to the ‘Olympic effect’. If this is so, expect to see a harsh reaction as traders lose faith in the legitimacy of the UK economic recovery. Please call in for the latest rates and to discuss your requirements with your trader.

The euro had a poor day on Friday as Standard and Poor’s (one of the big 3 credit rating agencies) downgraded a raft of French banks and Spanish unemployment reached fresh highs of 25% making it ever more likely that they will make a formal request for a full government bailout. On a more positive note, German consumer climate figures were better than expected; but, this had little effect on the euro’s relative strength. Problems in Greece and the delays surrounding the potential Spanish bailout are likely to dominate the headlines in Europe this week and any significant news will cause a lot of volatility in the market. This week, manufacturing PMI data will be released across Europe, we will have benchmark 10-year Italian and French bond auctions and the President of the European Central Bank (ECB) is also speaking. Call in now for the latest news and changes in the euro rate.

The US dollar had a mixed day on Friday following the third quarter GDP figures being released showing growth of 2% which was above market expectations of 1.8%. Manufacturing PMI figures and consumer confidence data will be released this week alongside a raft of unemployment data which includes the highly influential non – farm pay roll data which will be announced on Friday and is always watched extremely closely by investors. Much focus will also be given to the run up to the US Presidential elections on November 6th. Get the latest news by calling in.

Elsewhere, the Japanese yen performed well on Friday as risk aversion drove the market and in anticipation of the central bank meeting early on Tuesday morning. Some traders are speculating that the Bank of Japan may initiate another round of quantitative easing in an attempt to spur on growth. The Hungarian forint was one of the worst performing currencies on Friday after rumours spread stating that the so called Troika has halted talks of a potential bail out. This week, one of the main releases will be the Chinese manufacturing PMI data as its release plays a big part in influencing the relative strength of the commodity backed currencies. Other data released includes GDP figures and unemployment data from Canada, whilst we have building approvals figures and inflation data from Australia. Call in now for the latest news and a live quote.  

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Disclaimer
Exchange rates can move very quickly. The above rates are valid at a moment in time. We have no crystal ball and we recommend that if an exchange rate works for your budget then don’t wait for an even better exchange rate - Murphy’s Law says the rate will go against you and cause you maximum pain! Suggestions should not be taken as advice or fact.

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